Author Topic: TPiR Recap - 1/9/2018 (TPiR Season 46 Publishers Clearing House Week - Day II)  (Read 1022 times)

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Offline Roadgeek Adam

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Episode #8242K (TPiR Season 46 Publishers Clearing House Week - Day 2)
Aired – 1/9/2018; Taped – 12/5/2017
Models: Amber Lancaster, Rachel Reynolds
Microphone Handoff: Amber
First Four Contestant Seating: Left to Right

First IUFB: Pair of Apple Watches (Apple: Smartwatches with 38mm & 42mm cases); ARP: $828 (Overhead)

LAUREN HAROLD STACEY NATHAN
1000 975 1001 1

The winner is...
NATHAN


Nathan is playing Vend-O-Price for a iRobot vacuum (replenishing kit, 4 boxes of sweeping kits), washer and electric dryer with wifi, 65in 4J UHR LED TV with two smart speakers; ARP: $7,830) (Rachel).

CEREAL
8
CHILI
6
BISCOTTI
4

Nathan pulls the lever on the chili shelf, as they think it's the most expensive.

$1.49
8
$11.92
$3.99
4
$15.96
$3.19
6
$19.14

WIN (Total Winnings: $27,830)

Second IUFB: Collection of Designer Sunglasses (Dolce & Gabana: 2 pairs of aviators, round shape frames, cat eye shades for ladies); ARP: $970 (Rachel)

LAUREN HAROLD STACEY PATRICIA
980 600 981 650

The winner is...
PATRICIA


Patricia is playing SAFECRACKERS for a trip to Colorado (RT Coach to Gunnison, CO then to Crested Butte for a 5n stay in a 3-bedroom condo at the Crested Butte Lodge & Hostel + snowboard lesson, lift tickets); snowboard package (ladies package with boots and bindings; ARP: $9,112) (Amber).

ARP of the snowboard is the combination to the safe. The numbers are: 0, 6, 8.

OPEN
LOCK
8
6
0

$860

Third IUFB: Outdoor Swing (Hatteras Hammocks: outdoor swing with wooden frame); ARP: $1,030 (Rachel)

LAUREN HAROLD STACEY SHERRY
600 901 888 900

The winner is...
HAROLD


Harold is playing Spelling Bee for a 2017 Kia Rio LX (1.6L engine, 6-speed AT, FWD; ARP: $16,390) (Amber).

Free picks:
1
19
1) Salad Spinner
Guess: $25
28
Diff: $3
22
2) Lantern
Guess: $15
52
Diff: $37
No Card
3) Flat Iron
Guess: $35
39
Diff: $4
27
$$
$$
$$
$$

Harold bails out with $4,000.

C
A
R
CAR

PAINFUL BAILOUT (Total Winnings: $4,067)

SCSD #1

Contestant Winnings Spin 1 Spin 2 TOTAL RESULT
Harold $5,097 45 35 .80
Patricia $10,082 85 STAY .85
Nathan $28,658 95 .95 *SHOWCASE*

Fourth IUFB: Collection of Headphones (808 Audio: 3 pairs of headphones with leather ear muffs, 2 earbuds, 4GB audio player and case); ARP: $510 (Amber)

LAUREN DANIEL STACEY SHERRY
400 402 550 551

The winner is...
DANIEL


Daniel is playing Coming or Going for a trip to Costa Rica (RT Coach to Juanacasta, CR then to Playa del Flaming for a 6n stay all-inclusive stay at the Flamingo Beach Resort and Spa + surf lesson for two) (Rachel).

9 5 2 7 2 5 9
COMING -or- GOING

Daniel sets the price to:



7 2 5 9
COMING -or- GOING

ARP: $7,259. WIN!

Fifth IUFB: Grill (Louisiana Grills: Wood-pellet grill with accessories); ARP: $1,586 (Rachel)

LAUREN ALEXANDRIA STACEY SHERRY
1000 950 700 552

The winner is...
LAUREN


Lauren is playing Danger Price for:

  1. Motorscooter (Buddy 125 scooter with 125cc engine, CVT) (Amber)
  2. Designer Handbags (Teddy Blake New York: 2 satchels, tote, clutch) (Amber)
  3. Laptop computer (15.6in display, touchscreen laptop with 8GB RAM, 1TB HD, printer) (Rachel)
  4. Sauna (Crystal Saunas: 2-person infared sauna with ergonomic backrest and therapy lights) (Rachel)

$900
HANDBAGS
COMPUTER
SCOOTER
SAUNA
$900
HANDBAGS
COMPUTER
$2599
SAUNA
$900
HANDBAGS
COMPUTER
$2599
$3490
$900
$1902
COMPUTER
$2599
$3490
$900
$1902
$900
$2599
$3490

WIN

The bidding today has been lackluster, so Stacey's still here. Can she avoid the trip to North Arlington, New Jersey?

Sixth IUFB: Camera (27 lens options 16MP camera with wifi); ARP: $700 (Amber)

DEVIN ALEXANDRIA STACEY SHERRY
500 602 601 603

The winner is...
SHERRY


Stacey with bad bidding heads off, while Sherry is playing Card Game for 2017 Ruby Red Ford Focus SE (2L engine, 7-speed AT, FWD) (Rachel).

The starting price is
$15,000
. The target range is
$3,000
Sherry draws a
J♥
.
$16,000
Sherry draws a
7♥
.
$16,700
Sherry draws a
8♥
.
$17,500
Sherry stops at
$17,500
ARP is
$20,540
For a difference of
$3,040
For a result of
LOSS

SCSD #2

Contestant Winnings Spin 1 Spin 2 TOTAL RESULT
Sherry $700 15 90 1.05
OVER
Daniel $7,769 85 STAY .85 *SHOWCASE*
Lauren $10,477 70 60 1.30
OVER

THE FABULOUS SHOWCASES

Nathan has the honors...

SC1 - Daniel

SLICIN' & DICIN'
  • Kitchen (5-burner double oven gas range, side-by-side fridge and ultraquiet dishwasher) (Rachel)
  • Trip to Chicago (RT Coach to Chicago, IL for a 5n stay in a cityview deluxe room at the Kinzie Hotel + daily breakfast, 1 pizza tour for 2) (Rachel)
  • Boat (Bayliner: Element E16 with 60HP Mercury engine, bilge pump, bikini top with boot, trailer) (Amber)
Bid: $28,222

SC2 - Nathan

HIGH ROLLERS!
  • Mediterranean Cruise (RT Coach to Athens, GR for a 7n cruise for Mykonos, Santorini, etc,. + spa treatment each) (Amber)
  • 2017 Chevrolet Trax LS (1.4L engine, 6-speed AT, FWD, cargo package) (Rachel)
Bid: $24,500
Daniel
$28,222
TRIP/BOAT
$28,664
$442
TRIP/BOAT
*WIN*
$36,433
Nathan
$24,500
CRUISE/SUV
$32,325
$7,825
CRUISE/SUV

Results: 4 out of 6 (with 1 bailout)
Winnings: $91,447
Biggest Winner: Daniel

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Offline Teddy

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Both car games had painful moments: first, a CAR card revealed in Spelling Bee after Harold had opted to bail out, and then a $40 loss in Card Game; but as for the rest of the show, it was a joy to watch with all of them resulting in wins.

Offline The Last Outlaw

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That Spelling Bee was painful.  I was not home, so of course I'm gonna get my TPIR results here at Golden-Road.net.  Just reading that Spelling Bee result had me like, "Ooooh, I'm dying!"  $4000 and he had the car BOTH WAYS!  Man, that hurt my soul just thinking about it.  C-A-R and the card that said CAR.  I'm sorry, I'm beating this horse dead, but this is The Price is Right's version of "C'mon Man!"

Offline plinkoboard

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Painful bailout on Spelling Bee.  I didn't think the lantern would've been that much.  The $40 loss on Card Game ranks among some of the worst losses in history.  Others include at least twice when a person lost by $5, in 1997 when a person overbid by $45 and in 1987 when a person overbid by $17 on an episode where all 5 other games were won.  On a good note though Danger Price got its 1st win of the season.

Offline RCPlanes59

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Since I forgot to post this yesterday: In Spelling Bee, there are 657,720 combinations of 4 cards, 166,320 of which result in a win. In other words, the contestant had a 25.29% chance of winning the car for an expected value of $4,144.60. In other words, the bailout was actually pretty sound.

EDIT: I wrote a program a while back to calculate the win percentage of Spelling Bee. Here are the results for the other cards:

For 3 picks, game is won 4704 times out of 24360 combinations
For 4 picks, game is won 166320 times out of 657720 combinations
For 5 picks, game is won 5307120 times out of 17100720 combinations
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Offline sideshowPA

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For 3 picks, game is won 4704 times out of 24360 combinations

I'd be interested to see how you got this.
For 3 picks, I believe there are 30C3 combinations = 4,060
I then calculated the win probability if you earn 3 cards, and got about 36%. 
The grab below shows the 3 possibilities: that you get one each of C,A,R - that you get one CAR, and any two other cards, and the rare case that you get CAR, CAR and any 1 other card.  It's also near bed and I goof up sometimes, so feedback is always welcome.

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