Season 51 Bold Predictions

[gamesurf]

Time to revisit our Season 50 bold predictions and see how we did, laugh at some of them, and make new ones.

Here's mine:

•At no point do we return to the S49 format of four singular players (90%)
•By the end of the season, tapings are open to members of the general public visiting CBSTVC who did not "audition" (70%)
•Contestant "auditions" (sending in a form and video via website) are in place through the end of the season (60%)
•Season 50 includes at least four "special" weeklong events (Dream Car, PCH, Big Money, etc.) (70%) (Dream Car Week, Christmas, and Premiere Week)
•Season 50 includes at least seven "special" episodes not related to weeklong events (Breast Cancer, College Rivals, Halloween, 50th Anniversary, etc.) (90%) (Halloween, Veteran's Day, Thanksgiving, New Year's Eve, Valentine's, Spring Break, Baby Shower, Grammys, April Fools, Teacher's Appreciation Day, Mother's Day, Beach Party, 4th of July in daytime; 50th Anniversary, Christmas, First Responders, The Talk, Valentine's, Rachel Brosnahan in Primetime)

•PlutoTV unearths at least 200 "new" episodes from the 80s by the end of S50 (90%) (200 "new" episodes WERE shown from August 31 to Feb 24; this is stretching a bit as the run began a week before I posted my predictions but I'm counting it)
•Roger criticizes the current production staff at least five times by the end of S50 (90%) (I am not double-checking and I will not be predicting this again, a little too mean-spirited and I regret including this)
•Bob makes a taped appearance (i.e. not archival footage) in some form during the S50 primetime special (60%)
•Mike Richards finds new employment with somebody besides Sony by the end of S50 (60%) (At least, none that's been publicly announced AFAIK)

•Somebody wins over $100,000 (90%)
•Two contestants win over $100,000 (80%) (Four contestants won over $100,000; Melissa, Stephen, Robert, and Tristan)
•Somebody breaks into the TPIR top 10 winnings record (80%) (Melissa hits #5 with $159,040 with her miraculous Ten Chances Audi win)
•Triple Play is won at least once (70%) (out of four attempts)
•Pay The Rent is won at least once (70%)
•At least $250,000 given away via Big Wheel (80%) ($365,000 was given away; including 6 $26,000 winners, 14 $11,000 winners, and 55 $1,000 winners)
•5 or fewer DSWs (80%)
•3 or fewer DSWs (60%) (3 DSWs)
•There are more 0/6 shows in the season than 6/6 shows (80%) (3 0/6 shows; 1 6/6 show)
•5 or fewer 0/6 shows (70%)
•2 or more 6/6 shows (60%)
•Plinko will remain "winless" (99.999%)

As before, I fully expect to be wrong on some of these, the goal is to get at least 4 of the 5 predictions ranked at 80%, 3 of the 5 predictions ranked at 60%, etc.

Final total:
5/5 on 90% predictions (100%)
5/5 on 80% predictions (100%)
2/5 on 70% predictions (40%)
2/5 on 60% predictions (40%)

Takeaway: I was too conservative on my 90% and 80% predictions (should have missed 1-2 of 10 but got 10/10), and too out-there on my other predictions (should missed 3-4 of 10 but missed 6/10). I'll try to recalibrate for Season 51 by being less safe on the top end and more realistic on the bottom end.

Time for bold predictions for Season 51! As before, I'll do twenty predictions, five each of 90%/80%/70%/60%.

•By the end of the season, tapings are open to members of the general public visiting CBSTVC who did not "audition" (90%)
•Contestant "auditions" (sending in a form and video via website) are in place through the end of the season despite tapings being open to the public (70%)
•The "pods" are not in place by the end of S51 (80%)
•Season 51 includes at least four "special" weeklong events (Dream Car, PCH, Christmas, Big Money, etc.) (70%)
•Season 51 includes at least ten "special" daytime episodes not related to weeklong events (Breast Cancer, College Rivals, Halloween, Mother's Day, etc.) (90%)
•Season 51 includes at least three "special" primetime episodes (80%)

•PlutoTV unearths at least 200 "new" episodes from the 80s by the end of S51 (80%)
•No new pricing games premiere in S51 (90%)
•At least two existing pricing games have major refurbishments in S51 (60%)
•Triple Play is won (60%)
•Stack the Deck is won at least twice (60%)
•Magic # does not reappear and is quietly removed from the official website (90%)

•Two contestants win over $100,000 (90%)
•Somebody breaks into the TPIR top 10 winnings record (80%)
•At least 12 contestants win more than one car (80%)
•At least $350,000 given away via Big Wheel (70%)
•10 or fewer showcase rounds ending in double overbids (70%)
•4 or more DSWs (60%)
•5 or fewer 0/6 shows (70%)
•2 or more 6/6 shows (60%)

•Plinko will remain "winless" (99.999%)

What are your bold predictions for Season 51? What old S50 predictions didn't age well at all?

[actual_retail_tice]

My bold prediction: We have seen the end of Back to '72. This season, we will see the premiere of Back to '82! (cross-promoting Barker Era TPiR on Pluto)

[b_masters8]

My bold prediction: We have seen the end of Back to '72. This season, we will see the premiere of Back to '82! (cross-promoting Barker Era TPiR on Pluto)

And possibly advancing 10 years every new season (Back to '82, Back to '92, Back to 2002, and Back to 2012).

[crinos43]

Bold prediction: Drew shaves his beard (80%)
Bolder prediction: At least $200,000 is won on regular Plinko playing (The dollar amounts are unmodified) (70%)
Boldest of the bold prediction: other than the logo reverting reverting back to pre-Season 50, there is at least one change to the set (60%)

[AussieEvil]

Drew starts wearing ties again

[BillyGr]

Bolder prediction: At least $200,000 is won on regular Plinko playing (The dollar amounts are unmodified) (70%)

Seems that is impossible, given that the unmodified dollar amounts top out at $10,000 and having that changed would be a modification.

[goldroadfanatic]

For me, Magic # returns to the rotation, but with a new set, and maybe modified rules (for example, the contestant wins a cash bonus that's equivalent to the magic number they set, should they win both featured prizes).

[Torgo]

Bob dies. The show makes only a passing reference to it, and the fans here get so, so angry.

[ntpir]

Can we remove Torgo again? What an insensitive and inappropriate thing to say!

[blozier2006]

Can we remove Torgo again? What an insensitive and inappropriate thing to say!

Request seconded. That was completely uncalled for.

[urbanpreppie0004]

Y'all are aware this is a joke right?

[tpir04]

I mean...Torgo's prediction is entirely reasonable, albeit hopefully wrong.

Seems like the second half of his post already came true without the first half of his post coming true.

As for me:
Drew shaves his beard (100%)
The logo receives a facelift while the GPT does not (100%)
Magic # returns to the show (10%)
Plinko will be won (100%)
The full audience will be reinstated (0.31415926%)

[garffreak]

But Torgo's point is valid.  Bob will likely receive the same post-production farewell he gave Rod upon his passing.

It's a daytime gameshow.  It's fun, exciting, and a celebration.  Not an hour-long eulogy.  "Hey, you won that new car!  Fantastic!  Too bad about ol' Barker, though."

I hope the guess is wrong; I'd like to see him at least hit 100.  And he will, just to spite Betty White.

[JhayPrice]

Inspired by gamesurf, here's my twenty:

• Plinko would not be won (100%)

• Refreshed graphics for home base and door 4 screens (95%)

• Drew mentions Bob in the season premiere (90%)

• Plinko gets a $30,000+ win (85%)

• New on-screen graphics would be used for SCSD bonuses, showcase totals, and DSWs (80%).

• New "Barker Wall" for Drew (75%)

• A refreshed opening light border would be used (70%)

• Pay The Rent is won (65%)

• Two or more pricing games would receive a facelift (60%)

• At least two perfect shows happen(55%)

• 3 Strikes is won at least twice (50%)

• At least one winless show happens (45%)

• Remixed versions of Barker-era cues would be used (40%)

• A car is won in Dream Car Week through a bonus spin (35%)

• The giant price tag would be redesigned (30%)

• Three or more contestants win prizes totaling $100,000 or more (25%)

• Drew shaves his beard halfway through the season (20%)

• Back to '72 has been redesigned as a throwback-themed game focusing on different years, similar to Now or Then (15%).

• Plinko's top prize would finally be increased after 1998 (10%)

• A perfect Lucky Seven playing occurs (5%)

[pannoni1]

Drew is now the same age that Bob was when he let his hair go grey, so I'd see the beard as something similar. With the highest inflation in over 40 years, I'm presenting some odds regarding these price increases:

-Any cash game's top prize is increased (40%, I'd say Grand Game would be more likely than Plinko since it still has the same top prize since 1980)
-Bullseye's range is increased (30%)
-The cheapest Showcases are now in the $22,000-$23,999 range (25%)
-Hole In One's $500 bonus is increased or dropped (25%)
-Golden Road's opening item becomes a two-digit SP as on the 1994 Davidson version (20%)
-The One Bid minimum increases from $500 to $600 or more: (20%)
-No more cars under $20,000 are offered (10%)