Author Topic: TPiR Recap - 1/30/2023  (Read 1472 times)

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Offline Roadgeek Adam

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TPiR Recap - 1/30/2023
« on: January 30, 2023, 02:02:14 PM »
Episode #0091L
Aired – 1/30/2023; Taped – 12/5/2022
Models: Devin Goda, Amber Lancaster
Microphone Handoff: Amber
First Four Contestant Seating: Left to Right

First IUFB: Designer Watches (Tense: 5 pairs of luxury watches); ARP: $1,216 (Devin)

MICHELE JIMMY FREDERICK JESSICA
1106 1198 1600 1

The winner is...
JIMMY


Jimmy is playing SWITCH? for:

  1. Trip to Mackinac Island (RT Coach to Pellston, MI then to Mackinac Island via ferry for a 5n stay at the Harbour View Inn + daily breakfast, 2 admission passes to Fort Mackinac) (Amber)
  2. Trip to Nashville (RT Coach to Nashville, TN for a 5n stay in luxury accommodations at Margaritaville Hotel Nashville + one biscuit baking class) (Devin)

These prices are either correct or need to be switched:

MACKINAC   NASHVILLE
$6768   $8219
SWITCH?   SWITCH?

Jimmy chooses to switch...

MACKINAC   NASHVILLE
$8219   $6768
$8219 WIN $6768

Second IUFB: Elliptical Machine (Bowflex: MAX Trainer with 16in HD console, 20 resistance levels; heart rate armband, 12mo digital fitness membership; titanium health ring); ARP: $2,898 (Amber)

MICHELE BRIAN FREDERICK JESSICA
2280 1690 2250 1750

The winner is...
MICHELE


Michele is playing Punch-a-Bunch for a chance to win up to $25,000!

Item #1 (Smart Birdwatching Camera) (Amber):

$300

Guess: LOWER
LOWER
$200

Correct!

Item #2 (Glass Carafe):

$90

Guess: HIGHER
LOWER
$50

Wrong!

Item #3 (Sonos Bluetooth Speaker):

$75

Guess: HIGHER
HIGHER
$179

Correct!

Item #4 (Remington Men"s Grooming Kit):

$60

Guess: HIGHER
LOWER
$21

Wrong!

Michele has 2 punches


$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
1
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
  1. $2500
    She bails.
  2. $250
    BAILOUT (Total Winnings: $2,879

Third IUFB: Grill (Char-Griller: 2-in-1 grill with 438sqin cooking space + accessories; wireless meat thermometer); ARP: $683 (Devin)

MARISSA BRIAN FREDERICK JESSICA
579 700 675 1

The winner is...
FREDERICK


Frederick, a US Army veteran, is playing Any Number for random cash, television (70in LED 4K UHD smart television; universal remote) (Amber) or a 2023 Toyota Corolla LE (2L engine, CVT, FWD, all-weather floor liners, cargo net, carpet mat package) (Devin).

The first number of the car is a...

CAR 2
SMART TV
PIGGY BANK

Frederick picks 4.

CAR 2
SMART TV 4
PIGGY BANK

Frederick picks 2.

CAR 2 2
SMART TV 4
PIGGY BANK

Frederick picks 3.

CAR 2 3 2
SMART TV 4
PIGGY BANK

Frederick picks 5.

CAR 2 3 5 2
SMART TV 4
PIGGY BANK

Frederick picks 6.

CAR 2 3 5 2
SMART TV 4
PIGGY BANK 6

Frederick picks 7.

CAR 2 3 5 2
SMART TV 4
PIGGY BANK 6 7

Frederick picks 1.

CAR 2 3 1 5 2
SMART TV 4
PIGGY BANK 6 7

WIN. Board was:

CAR 2 3 1 5 2
SMART TV 9 4 0
PIGGY BANK 8. 6 7

SCSD #1

Contestant Winnings Spin 1 Spin 2 TOTAL RESULT
Michele $5,777 30 40 .70
Jimmy $16,203 75 STAY .75
Frederick $23,835 85 .85 *SHOWCASE*

Fourth IUFB: Tool Kit (DeWalt: 9pc tool set with 2 batteries, 2 contractors bag, 1 charger); ARP: $899 (Amber on TUGGS)

MARISSA BRIAN JANE JESSICA
835 836 600 755

The winner is...
BRIAN


Brian is playing Push Over + for a home sauna (Almost Heaven Saunas: rustic cedar steam barrel sauna; 6pc towel set, towel warmer) (Devin).

2 1 1 3 1 0 5 4 8          
  HOT TUB
 

Brian pushes the blocks to

              2 1 1 3 1 0 5
  HOT TUB
 

ARP be...

              2 1 1 3 1 0 5
  1 1 3 1 0
 
LOSS

Fifth IUFB: Cookware (Le Creuset: 4pc cookware; utensil set); ARP: $1,024 (Devin)

MARISSA FRANCIS JANE JESSICA
1101 562 1100 900

The winner is...
JESSICA


Jessica, the last of the First Four, is playing Check Out for a 2022 Chevrolet Trax LS (1.4L engine, 6-speed AT, FWD, tint and cruise package; ARP: $23,090) (Amber).

Guesses   ARPs Differences
1.79 Manwich Bold Sloppy Joe Sauce (16oz) $1.50 .29
3.15 Dean"s Cool n Creamy French Onion Dip (16oz) $3.99 .84
4.50 Cracker Barrel Rich & Bold Cheddar Jack Cheese Cubes (2oz) $2.99 1.51
3.25 Snow"s Wild Caught Minced Clams Served in Clam Juice (6.5oz) $5.49 2.24
4.25 Pop Secret Movie Theatre Buttern Popcorn (6ct) 7.99 3.74
16.94 Totals 21.96 5.02 LOSS

Sixth IUFB: Basketball Arcade Game (Pop-A-Shot: dual shot electronic basketball game with custom backboard, 6 balls); ARP: $529 (Amber)

MARISSA FRANCIS JANE TONIKA
299 720 525 600

The winner is...
JANE


Jane is playing Danger Price for:

  1. Range (Stainless steel gas range) (Amber)
  2. Silent Disco Package (10 pairs of LED wireless siletn disco headphones; 3 transmitters) (Amber)
  3. Pair of e-Bikes (Lectric bikes: pair of folding electric bikes) (Devin)
  4. Computer (Apple: MacStudio with 32GB memory, 512GB SSD; 27in monitor, keyboard and mouse) (Devin)
$2198
DISCO
BIKES
RANGE
COMPUTER
$2198
DISCO
BIKES
$849
COMPUTER
$2198
$1699
BIKES
$849
COMPUTER
$2198
$1699
BIKES
$849
$3806

WIN (ARP of the bikes: $2,198)

SCSD #2

Contestant Winnings Spin 1 Spin 2 TOTAL RESULT
Brian $899 95 STAY .95 *SHOWCASE*
Jessica $1,024 70 100 1.70
OVER
Jane $9,081 60 55 1.15
OVER

THE FABULOUS SHOWCASES

Frederick has the honors...

SC1 - Frederick

IMPRESSIVE SHOWCASE
  • Trip to Iceland (RT Coach to Reykjavik, IC then to Stykkishlmur for a 6n stay at Hotel Stundarfridur + daily breakfast, glacier lagoon excursion, golden circle day trip with hot springs visit) (Devin)
  • His and Her Designer Clothes (Michael Kors: shirt, sweater, jacket, 2 pairs of pants, 2 pairs for him; 2 dresses, jacket, metallic sandals, leather boots for her) (Amber)
  • 2022 Kings Red Metallic Volkswagen Taos SE (1.5L engine, 8-speed AT, FWD, black wheel package, panoramic sunroof) (Devin)
Bid: $41,000

SC2 - Brian

SUNSETS
  • Trip to Key West (RT Coach to Key West, FL for a 5n stay in an oceanview boutique suite at Ocean Key Resort and Spa + daily breakfast, sunset dinner cruise) (Devin)
  • Digital Camera (Olympus: OMD 50MP DSLR camera with 12-55mm lens) (Devin)
  • 2022 Bayliner Element M15 (50HP engine, EX package with BT, AMFM stereo, smartphone engine monitoring system, trailer) (Amber)
Bid: $24,000
Frederick
$41,000
ICELAND/SUV
$43,492
$2,492
ICELAND/SUV
*WIN*
$67,327
Brian
$24,000
TRIP/BOAT
$33,931
$9,931
TRIP/BOAT

Results: 3 out of 6 (with 1 bailout)
Winnings: $100,311
Biggest Winner: Frederick

This Recap is solely intended for the purpose of Golden-Road.net.
Reproduction of this without authorized consent is prohibited.

Recap produced by Roadgeek Adam
Templates by Visualbasicwizard and WhammyPower788
CSS work provided by cu2010.

« Last Edit: January 31, 2023, 12:14:52 PM by Roadgeek Adam »
Season 41–Season 43, Season 46–Present Recap Guide.
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Offline Prizes

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Re: TPiR Recap - 1/30/2023
« Reply #1 on: January 30, 2023, 05:22:27 PM »
Been having some fun with the math, took a look at the last 33 Check-Out playings, including today. The magic number is $18.69 with a decent result in our error margin at a 95% confidence interval that falls well within our acceptable $2 boundary range, since $2, either way is 10.7%(!)* for an acceptable error margin.

Today was special and an exception and loser to the rule, but that total wins you 24 of the last 33 playings or just under 73% without any other info. If it was a more extreme loss it was more likely to be under $16.69. Two of the four times $18.69 lost by being too low of a total, it was roughly within a quarter, or $2.00-$2.25 difference.

*Which arguably tells me $2 is probably too large of a range statistically for this number, and to get the desired win-loss rate of ideal, sharp players, you'd want both of A) Wider variance in price sets/totals and B) More expensive winning raw totals. Not that these need to remotely happen if you're Chris, it's a hard enough game for most players anyway. But Drew's oft-calming axiom is actually right, people in theory should win the game all the time, purely by probability and math dives.
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Offline Wayoshi

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Re: TPiR Recap - 1/30/2023
« Reply #2 on: January 30, 2023, 06:09:30 PM »
It's irrelevant since no one is going to go for a set target number in the game realistically. (How frowned upon would it be to do that?) I bet for car playings you can add that sweet spot about 2.50-3.50.

Frederick priced some tough items amazingly today. It became obvious if you knew a couple small hidden rules that 1 was not only a safe pick in that it wouldn't end the game in a loss, it almost certainly had to be in the car. Then, not only did he not way underbid the near-daily 40k+ car SC, he was pretty damn close to it!

It was nice to see Danger last.
« Last Edit: January 30, 2023, 06:11:59 PM by Wayoshi »
S5x... the show's stabilized into something decent now, I guess...

Offline Roadgeek Adam

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Re: TPiR Recap - 1/30/2023
« Reply #3 on: January 30, 2023, 07:11:56 PM »
Recap posted.
Season 41–Season 43, Season 46–Present Recap Guide.
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Offline Grammar-Nazi

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Re: TPiR Recap - 1/30/2023
« Reply #4 on: January 30, 2023, 09:11:11 PM »
Skipper from Gilligan’s Island had a great day.
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Offline mechamind

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Re: TPiR Recap - 1/30/2023
« Reply #5 on: January 31, 2023, 01:06:34 AM »
If I was playing Check Out today, my total would've been under by $2.01. For a car as well. :embarassed:
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