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The TALK Is Right / Re: The Ultimate Price is Right Strategy Guide
« Last post by LiteBulb88 on Today at 03:22:51 AM »
Showcase Showdown (a.k.a The Wheel)

(Blog post: https://stoseontpir.blogspot.com/2019/06/the-ultimate-price-is-right-strategy_26.html)

Random fact
The original wheel looked nothing like today's wheel; instead it looked like a carnival wheel with various colors. It's often referred to as the Rainbow Wheel. You can see the first playing of it here:

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JeMJC1QFmgk" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JeMJC1QFmgk</a>

Who actually won? (seasons 29-46)
  • The first spinner won 30.17% of the time.
  • The second spinner won 33.81% of the time.
  • The third spinner won 36.05% of the time, so a small, but not huge, advantage.
Probabilities
(The following probabilities were calculated by enumerating all possible combinations of wheel spins and applying the strategy below.)
Who wins:
  • First spinner: 30.82%
  • Second spinner: 32.96%
  • Third spinner: 36.22%
Getting $1 in one spin or a combination of two spins:
  • At least one spinner: 23.03%
  • At least two spinners: 2.35%
  • All three spinners: 0.08%
(Note the above three cases exclude the possibility of getting $1 in a spin-off, which would slightly increase the numbers.)

Having a spin-off with...:
  • Exactly two players: 11.32%
  • All three players: 0.48%
Strategy
The only decision a contestant makes during this segment of the show is whether to take their second spin or not. How hard can that be? It turns out it's hard enough that people have written papers on it. So rather than attempt to derive the numbers here, I'll just spit out the results:

Spinner 1 strategy:
  • Stay if you spun 0.70 or more.
  • Spin again if you spun 0.65 or less.
Spinner 2 strategy:
  • If you spun less than spinner 1, spin again. (Duh.)
  • If you spun more than spinner 1, or if spinner 1 went over, stay if and only if you spun 0.55 or more. If you are in the lead after your first spin but spun 0.50 or less, spin again.
  • If you tied spinner 1, stay if and only if you spun 0.70 or more. If you tied spinner 1 but spun 0.65 or less, spin again.
Spinner 3 strategy:
  • If you spun less than the total of whoever is leading after the first two contestants have spun, spin again. (Duh.)
  • If you spun more than the total of whoever is leading after the first two contestants have spun, stay. (Again, duh. In fact, Drew probably won't even let you spin again in this case.)
  • If you have exactly one person to beat and you tied them, stay and take the spin-off if and only if you spun 0.55 or more. If the value you tied is 0.50 or less, spin again.
  • If the first two spinners tied and you tied both of them, stay and take the spin-off if and only if you spun 0.70 or more. If you tied two people at 0.65 or less, spin again.
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The TALK Is Right / Re: The Ultimate Price is Right Strategy Guide
« Last post by LiteBulb88 on Today at 03:19:54 AM »
Ack! Good catch--I do appreciate it. I can't edit my post here, but I have corrected my blog.
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Out In Left Field / Re: 2019 MLB Season
« Last post by Ccook on Today at 02:39:07 AM »
Running joke is that they will rename themselves the Ex-Rays.😉
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Host Your Own! / Re: The Gritty Reboot: gamesurf's Price is Right
« Last post by TPIRfan#9821 on Yesterday at 11:37:13 PM »
You know, I'll step in for this HYO, but what you don't know is that I've been on the phone with Fremantle, and this thing is going to be a reality.

I was going to PM Adam a rough recap to help him out, but since the secret is out, I may as just leak the whole episode.

Episode Number- 8806K
Original Tape Date: June 24th, 2019

Here it comes! From the famous Bob Barker Studio in Hollywood, it's The Price is Right!

Thomas Crapper, Come on Down!
John Harington, Come on Down!
Joseph Gayetty, Come on Down!
Samuel Prosser, Come on Down!

You are the first four contestants on today's special "5,000" episode on The Price is Right!

Just like on the April Fools' Day special in 2011, it is never stated what exactly the 5,000 stands for. Drew keeps hyping up something special happening, but nothing special happens.

IUFB #1: Portable Restroom (PolyJohn, comes with side vents and lock)

$1000|$599|$1250|$1

ARP: $649, Joseph wins!

Joseph has a chance to add to his portable restroom a dream Kohler bathroom with free installation, [1] and 100 boxes of 48 count Ex-Lax Chocolates, a prize package worth $27,539, if he can guess properly on BONUS GAME

Small Prizes-



SP1- Brown Plunger- $70
Joseph goes Lower.
ARP: $20

SP2- Toilet Seat- $45
Joseph goes Lower.
ARP: $70

SP3- Shower Head- $55
Joseph goes Lower.
ARP: $60

SP4- Bathroom Sink- $250
Joseph goes Lower.
ARP: $300

The hidden bonus is behind SP1.

Crapshoot #2- WIN!


In fact, everyone in the audience will be receiving $250 worth of Ex-Lax chocolates due to Joseph winning!

George Harding, Come on Down!

IUFB #2: Nintendo Switch (Pro Controller, 5 Games)

$599|$1000|$1|$2

ARP: $660, George wins!

George can enjoy his Switch with a duo of TVs (82" and 65" of Samsung 4K UHD TVs, 2 Blu-ray players) if he catches the Freeze Frame

***[61][78]***
[12]TRIP    [21]
[71]5760   [98]
***[60][57]***

STINKER!

J.C. Thomasa, Come on Down!

IUFB #3: Soundstream 7Pc Car Stereo

$300|$799|$555|$556

ARP: $870, John wins!

John might be able to walk away with a Nissan Versa S Plus with splash guards worth $15,595 if he can sink the Hole in One Toilet.

The lawn in this playing is painted white, except for the lines, which look like the perforations of toilet paper, leading into the circle, which looks like a giant toilet. The ball is a brownish shade.

Grocery Products:

16-count hot dogs
8 oz. dried banana chips
14 oz. white rice
6 oz. yogurt
10 oz. potato chips
Ex-Lax chocolates

yogurt | rice | banana | potato | hot dogs | chocolates

$0.50 | $2.99 | $1.50

John will put from the second line.

Inspiration putt- too far left

Crapshoot #1- Overshoots

Crapshoot #2- WIN!

Coming back from commercial break from Hole, instead of actually having gameplay, Drew does a 30-minute infomercial, detailing the miracles of Ex-Lax. We were given absolutely no time to do a special, so we could barely scrape off prizes we had in the homes of the staff. Either way, this is the first "half-hour" show in a few decades, since all the fans like a throwback.


TW: Joseph
RU: John

SC1- PRESENTED BY EX-LAX
If this showcase is won, the winner will receive a lifetime supply of Ex-Lax chocolate.

Since the first water system in America was made in Boston, the showcase starts with a trip to Boston (6n, The Colonnade Hotel)
Now, we get to the place with the origin of hot water systems in beautiful Greece! (6n, Pi Athens)
Finally, ride out your luxuries with a Toyota Yaris LE Sedan! (auto)

Joseph passes, John bids $25,000.

SC2- WHAT WAS LEFT BACKSTAGE
$3,000 in cash
Trip to Albuquerque, New Mexico (6n, Hyatt Regency Tamaya Resort & Spa)
Trip to Nelspruit, South Africa (6n, Aha Casa do Sol Hotel & Resort)

Joseph bids $17,000.



John bid $25,000 on SC1. ARP: $34,501. Difference of $9,501.

Joseph bid $17,000 on SC2. ARP: $14,452. MRRRP!

John leaves today with $50,096 in merchandise.

Mike Richards comes out and briefly says that it has been an honor to be on the show for so long, and that he is happy that he could have said goodbye with such a great season finale.

Price List (I wanted to be semi-accurate)-

IUFB #1- https://www.webstaurantstore.com/polyjohn-pjn3-1016-dark-blue-portable-restroom-with-translucent-top/621PJ31016.html
Bathroom- See https://youtu.be/i7X4QRiYM5A?t=27.
Ex-Lax chocolates- https://www.walgreens.com/store/c/ex-lax-chocolated-stimulant-laxative-pieces-chocolate/ID=prod396219-product
Squatty Potty Emoji Poo Plunger- https://express.google.com/u/0/product/10402442394797640996_15027538222744547727_1183006
Toilet Seat- https://www.signaturehardware.com/luxury-toilet-seat-light-oak.html
Shower Head- https://www.amazon.com/52841-UniversalShoweringComponents-Raincan-Single-Setting-Touch-Clean/dp/B01G75Z1CI
Bathroom Sink- https://www.ebay.com/p/Signature-Hardware-Vilas-Porcelain-Wall-Mount-Sink/525344259

IUFB #2- Just going off of knowledge, Switch is $300, Pro Controller is $70, Smash, Odyssey, BotW, Splatoon 2 are $60, 1-2-Switch is $50.
82" TV- https://www.bestbuy.com/site/samsung-82-class-led-q60-series-2160p-smart-4k-uhd-tv-with-hdr/6331772.p
65" TV- https://www.bestbuy.com/site/samsung-65-class-led-q60-series-2160p-smart-4k-uhd-tv-with-hdr/6331761.p
Blu-ray players- https://www.bestbuy.com/site/lg-streaming-audio-wi-fi-built-in-blu-ray-player-black/3279089.p

IUFB #3- Taken from the June 5th, 2019 playing of Line 'em Up.
Hot Dogs- https://grocery.walmart.com/ip/Nathan-s-Famous-Bun-Length-Skinless-Original-Beef-Franks-32-Oz-16-Count/43937810?
Banana Chips- https://www.dollargeneral.com/good-smart-dried-banana-chips-8-oz.html
White Rice- https://www.target.com/p/minute-174-instant-enriched-long-grain-white-rice-14oz/-/A-13325507
Yogurt- https://grocery.walmart.com/ip/Yoplait-Original-Yogurt-Strawberry-Kiwi-6-oz-Cup/10320914
Potato Chips-https://www.target.com/p/lay-s-classic-family-size-potato-chips-10oz/-/A-12992102

SC1-
Boston- taken from Bonkers on 4/9/2019
Greece- taken from Flip Flop on 3/28/2019
Yaris- taken from 10 Chances on 4/9/2019

SC2-
$3,000 in cash- duh
Albuquerque- Taken from Math on 5/13/2019
Nelspruit- Taken from DP on 6/19/2019

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The TALK Is Right / Re: When did NBC Daytime Cullen TPIR go to color
« Last post by blozier2006 on Yesterday at 10:59:03 PM »
Gotcha. I've been working on getting the DVD's, and none of those have any subpar-A/V quality episodes, for what it's worth (heck, the pre-Barnabas shows even have their original production slates intact!)
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The TALK Is Right / Re: When did NBC Daytime Cullen TPIR go to color
« Last post by ThatDonGuy on Yesterday at 10:56:49 PM »
By "original color tapes", do you mean "not the Worldvision syndication masters"?
I can't say for certain, but I don't think so - that undisputed source of information Wikipedia says that Worldvision didn't have the earliest episodes. However, apparently Syfy later found a source of the earliest tapes that were still in broadcast condition; either that, or somebody misinterpreted the original "not in broadcast condition" statement and the problem was just that it was not in a format that could be played today (similar to when they found Spin-Off and the first two seasons of The Joker's Wild at WCBS, but they had to be converted, and it is an expensive process, so the decision was made not to convert Spin-Off, and I am not sure all of the TJW episodes got converted either).
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Congrats to Punchy and 2K on their respective titles!

And I missed the goal I set for myself this season-reach the 10,000 point mark. After missing it by less than 100 last year, I missed it by more than 500 this year. Though of course, an over percentage of near 50% will do that to you. That's another goal to set for the next season, to have an over percentage AOB 40%. A 20-30% over percentage would be wonderful. Hopefully, I can achieve these goals in season 16!

All in all, 'twas a very enjoyable Season 15! Turned in my first-ever QSW, and nabbed nearly twice more monies I had at season's end last season! Also, I'm really getting a kick out of looking at the differences between the season-ending scorecard this year and the one from last year, particularly the reigning champion (985) not even playing this year.
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Out In Left Field / Re: 2019 MLB Season
« Last post by mellongraig on Yesterday at 10:26:15 PM »
Tampa Bay Rays are considering a shared season with Montreal as soon as 2024 as they basically can't support hosing 81 home games in Tampa anymore. They are still there through at least 2027 though.
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The TALK Is Right / Re: The Dob with an interesting piece of news.....
« Last post by blozier2006 on Yesterday at 10:21:18 PM »
“Average” person is not a uniform term. People can be more energetic; that doesn’t make them somehow not an average person.
There's a difference between "energetic" and "OD'd on Red Bull".
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The TALK Is Right / Re: The Dob with an interesting piece of news.....
« Last post by imhomerjay on Yesterday at 10:13:45 PM »
“Average” person is not a uniform term. People can be more energetic; that doesn’t make them somehow not an average person.
 
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