TPiR Recap - 5/18/2021

[Roadgeek Adam]

Episode #9442K
Aired – 5/18/2021; Taped – 4/7/2021
Models: Amber Lancaster, James O'Halloran
Microphone Handoff: N/A (due to COVID19)
First Four Contestant Seating: 3, 1, 2, 4

First IUFB: Smartphone (128GB smartphone with 6.9in screen, case); ARP: $1,417 (Amber and James)

CHRISTINA	DUBLIN	ZACHARY	BAILEY
1200	1000	650	700

The winner is...
CHRISTINA

Christina is playing Cover Up for a 2021 Toyota CHR LE (2L engine, CVT, FWD, blackout emblem overlays, mud guards, RBP, paint/fabric protection) (Amber). The things being covered up are CUPS OF COFFEE.

				1
			8	5
		4	3	9
	7	9	5	0
2	9	8	7	6
4	3	5	1	7
Co	f	f	e	e

				1
				5
		4	3	9
	7	9	5	0
	9		7
4		5	1	7
2	3	8	8	6

				1
				5
			3	9
	7	9	5	0
	9
4		5	1	7
2	3	4	7	6

				1
				5
			3	9
	7	9	5	0
	9
4			1	7
2	3	4	5	6
2	3	4	1	6

LOSS

Second IUFB: Laptop Package (Apple: 13in MacBook Pro with 8GB RAM, 512GB SSD; Mobile Pixels: 2 portable laptop monitors); ARP: $2,219 (Amber)

FRANCISCO	DUBLIN	ZACHARY	BAILEY
1550	1800	1801	1802

The winner is...
BAILEY

Bailey is playing One Right Price for:

1. Fitness Package (Body-Solid: Best Fitness E2 elliptical trainer; Suunto: fitness watches and 2 extra leather straps, 2 stainless steel bottles) (James)
2. Dishwasher (Stainless steel wifi enabled dishwasher) (Amber)

The right price is $2299. She picks the dishwasher...

FITNESS PACKAGE		DISHWASHER
		$2299
$3154		$2299
		WIN

Third IUFB: Power Tools (Greenworks Pro: drill driver, impact driver, 2 saws, impact wrench, rotary hammer, angle grinder and shop blower, 2 batteries); ARP: $810 (James)

FRANCISCO	DUBLIN	ZACHARY	MARY
1200	500	1	2000

The winner is...
DUBLIN

Dublin is playing Grand Game for a chance to win up to $10,000!

The target price is...

$4.50

Dublin starts out at $1.00:

$1.00

The items are:

• Stouffer's Fish Filet Frozen Entree (9oz)
• Bragg Organic Apple Cider Vinegar (32oz)
• Hunt's Tomato Sauce (15oz)
• Dove Volume & Fullness Shampoo (12oz)
• York Peppermint Patties (17.3oz)
• Mrs. Cubbison's Classic Seasoned Croutons (5oz)

Pick 1: Tomato Sauce

$1.19

$10.00

Pick 2: Croutons

$2.69

$100.00

Pick 3: Vinegar

$5.69

$100.00

LOSS (ARP of the frozen entree: $3.39; ARP of the shampoo: $3.99; ARP of the candy: $6.49)

SCSD #1

Contestant	Winnings	Spin 1	Spin 2	TOTAL	RESULT
Dublin	$910	60	STAY	.60	*SHOWCASE*
Christina	$1,417	65	80	1.45	OVER
Bailey	$7,672	60	85	1.45	OVER

Fourth IUFB: Outdoor Television (50in 4K outdoor televisiion with HDR); ARP: $2,094 (James)

FRANCISCO	ROCIO	ZACHARY	MARY
1100	1250	1800	1300

The winner is...
ZACHARY

Zachary, marking a first four sweep, is playing SECRET X for a grilling collection and outdoor dining table (NexGrill: 3 gas grills, charcoal grill and smoker, charcoal kettle grill; Porter Road: $3,000 gift card; Lloyd Flanders: Reflections collection of table, 4 chairs; ARP: $11,636) (Amber).

Zachary places the free X...

The small prizes are:

1. Coffee Chiller (James)
2. Sharpre Image Weather Emergency Radio (James)

X

?

 

 

?

 

 

?

 

$40

$79

COFFEE CHILLER

$40

$79

$40

X

?

 

 

?

 

 

?

X 

$90

$135

Speaker Phone

$90

$135

$90

X

?

X 

 

?

 

 

?

 X

The secret X is revealed...

X

 

X 

 

X

 

 

 

 X

WIN (Total Winnings: $11,766)

Fifth IUFB: Designer Accessories (Michael Kors: briefcase, wallet, belt for him; duffle, camera bag, belt for her); ARP: $2,760 (Amber)

FRANCISCO	ROCIO	NICOLE	MARY
1800	1	2300	2200

The winner is...
NICOLE

Nicole is playing Flip Flop for a trip to Savannah (RT Coach to Savannah, GA for a 5n stay at the Presidents Quarters Inn + daily breakfast and lunch, panoramic 2d sightseeing tour)

68

62

Nicole FLIPS to

86	62

ARP be...

68	26

LOSS

Sixth IUFB: Ping Pong Table (Stiga: Advantage ping pong table with accessories); ARP: $650 (James v. Amber)

FRANCISCO	ROCIO	WARD	MARY
749	801	799	650

CLANGERS! $500!!

The winner is...
MARY

Mary is playing More or LeSs.

Headphone Package (Audio Technica: over ear, and pair of two in ear headphones) (James)

LESS

$1200

* * *

Less

$1200

$547

Telescope (Meade Instruments: Starnavigator NG 102 with eyepiece and filter set, bag and smartphone adapter) (Amber)

MORE

$700

* * *

MORE

$700

$1025

Cutlery and Indoor Garden (Wusthof: 12 knives, spreader, honing steel, kitchen shears, storage block; Aero Garden: growlight indoor garden system) (Amber)

LESS

$1800

* * *

MORE

$1800

$2179

2021 Nissan Sentra SV (2L engine, CVT, FWD, splash guards) (James)

SCSD #2

Contestant	Winnings	Spin 1	Spin 2	TOTAL	RESULT
Mary	$2,722	90	STAY	.90	*SHOWCASE*
Nicole	$2,760	5	35	.40
Zachary	$13,860	15	15	.30

THE FABULOUS SHOWCASES

Mary has the honors...

SC1 - Mary

EXTRA SET OF HANDS

• Handyman Services for a Year (Handyman Connection: $1,500 of services) (Amber)
• Living Room (Carolinachair.com: Chennille collection of sofa, chair, ottoman, nesting coffee table; iHome: robot vacuum) (James)
• 2021 Tahoe T16 (75HP engine, BT, swim platform flooring, ski tow bar, soft touch interior, trailer) (Amber)

Bid: $23,000

SC2 - Dublin

COAST TO COAST

• Trip to New York City (Coach to New York, NY for a 5n stay in upgraded executive accommodations at the InterContinental New York Barclay + daily meals, private RT airport transportation, evening Manhattan skyline cruise for 2) (Amber)
• Trip to Oregon (Coach to North Bend, OR then to Bandon for a 5n stay in a suite at the Bandon Marina Inn + daily meals, admission for two West Coast Game Safari, fly coach back to LA) (Amber)
• 2021 Harley-Davidson Black Denim Iron 883 (883cc engine, 5-speed transmision, helmet) (James)

Bid: $18,000

Mary

$23,000

ROOM/BOAT

$30,741

$7,741

ROOM/BOAT

Dublin

$18,000

TRIP/CYCLE

$22,274

$4,274

TRIP/CYCLE

*WIN*
$23,184

Results: 2 out of 6
Winnings: $51,615
Biggest Winner: Dublin

This Recap is solely intended for the purpose of Golden-Road.net.
Reproduction of this without authorized consent is prohibited.
Recap produced by Roadgeek Adam
Templates by Visualbasicwizard and WhammyPower788
CSS work provided by cu2010.

[Roadgeek Adam]

Recap posted.

[SteveGavazzi]

The coffee picture of the mountain climber in Cover Up was really impressive.

(Wow, there's a sentence that probably no one's ever said before.)

Also impressive, although not in a good way:  Every single decision made during the first Showcase Showdown was wrong.

[mechamind]

Can someone clarify the odds when the third player ties with the leader on their first spin?

[WilliamPorygon]

Can someone clarify the odds when the third player ties with the leader on their first spin?

55˘ and up:  Better odds taking the spin-off.
45˘ and below:  Better odds spinning again.
50˘ exactly:  Odds are the same either way, do whichever you prefer.

[Flerbert419]

50˘ exactly:  Odds are the same either way, do whichever you prefer.

If you like seeing people win money, going to the spinoff allows both you and your opponent to try for the dollar again, so it's the nice thing to do.

[SeaBreeze341]

I didn’t have a problem with Bailey spinning again on 60.  I disagreed with the decision, but I get wanting to close out that round without giving your opponent a second chance at a better score.  In this case, Bailey had a 2/5 chance at surviving, which, while less than 50%, it’s not by much.  Unlike Dublin, Bailey already won something significant.  I didn’t like it, and it turned out to be the wrong result, but I didn’t have a big problem with it either.  It would’ve been a moot point had Christina stayed put on 65 (not as nasty of a number as say 55).  Then you might have had Bailey spinning again on 45 or 10 (or maybe winning) with 70, assuming her spin was the same speed and strength.

The odds on TPIR in general have not played out to the benefit of its contestants over the years (or decades) so sometimes a risk may be warranted.  8 different outcomes win it for Bailey including one for money and a spin.   The spin off is great but it’s still a coin flip.  Respected the risk (you never know whether Dublin could’ve ended up with a much better score or a worse one with only one spin to win and advance) but agree it would’ve been better off going for the spin off there (at least it was based off 60 cents, and not something like 75 cents).  I personally would have chosen a spin off at 45 cents (with 20 or 25 I’d be spinning again for sure)

[LiteBulb88]

Bailey had a 40% chance of winning SCSD #1 by spinning again after tying on 60 cents but she would've had a 50% chance of winning by taking the spin-off. Therefore, she made the wrong decision. (So did everyone else during that SCSD, like Steve said.)

[mechamind]

So it's just that simple? I was thinking it would be more complicated like the first spinner getting a 65.

[LiteBulb88]

Yes, it really is that simple. The reason is that for the third spinner, the probability of winning is the same as the probability of not going over. However, that's not true for the first spinner, which makes the math much more complex for them.

[Nate Powalie]

You'd think with a contestant named Dublin, there may have been a trip to Ireland involved. *dad joke intended* Good show though.

[BillyGr]

You'd think with a contestant named Dublin, there may have been a trip to Ireland involved. *dad joke intended* Good show though.

Or wish that he had bid closer to the actual price on his showcase, in order to be a Dublin Showcase Winner