You are kidding about the gaps right? The gaps for the game we saw were pretty much $0.50 at each step requiring D.O.B. accurate pricing of each item at every step of the way. Whether or not it plays out on a consistent basis that the most expensive GP goes on top and the 2nd most goes on the bottom, who knows. Speaking from experience, most people will not be able to remember that much at that point in time, much less be able to add 1.49 and 5.49.
Nope, I'm definitely not kidding. I think you taking "solid shot" and "gaps" to mean a much different thing that I meant it to be. I said that if all players understood the point of the game (like the pairing cheap with expensive) and all went for the $100,000, we might get a win rate as high as 25% with a set-up like that. Of course, weren't not going to get players that knowledgeable and we'll get our share of bail-outs.
I know the gaps of the combos to win are tight. That wasn't my point. My point is that gaps between individual items are big, so that significantly reduced the number of appealing combos to try. There are two dollars gaps (more less) between the cheapest to the next two, then to the next two, and then to the highest. If one understands the combo trick and the gaps between grocery prices are that big, that cuts down the combos significantly. A competent player trying for the $100,000 will, right off the bat, never put the $1 prize at level 1 and always put the $7 prize at level 4.
There are only so many ways to juggle it. It's tough for a player to determine which is 2nd most expensive and which is 3rd, but if they get that guess right, it cuts the odds. Then it essentially comes down to deciding between placing the 3rd/6th combo on level 2 and the 4th/5th combo on level 3 or vice versa.
If the gaps are that blantant you have a good at knowing this is definitely 1st (i.e. most expensive), these are 2nd and 3rd (which is which is dicey), these are 4th and 5th (which is which is dicey), and this is definitely 6th. Then, it's matter of correctly picking which is 2nd and which is 3rd among two close prices and whether the 3rd/6th or 4th/5th is higher. I do mean it's a shoo-in. I mean it's not such a crazy long shot assuming (a) the price steps between 1st, then 2nd/3rd, then 4th/5th, then 6th remain so big, (b) every player understood how the combos work in the games strategy, and (c) everyone went for it instead of bailing.